If the Recession is Over, What’s Next?
Many
economists and government representatives tell us that the
recession has ended. An official declaration based on economic
statistics may be months away. And, while individuals vary in
their predictions, there is a general expectation that the
economic environment will gradually improve over time.
As we encounter more signs of vitality—increased hustle and
bustle in stores, fewer ‘For Sale’ signs on your block and
eventually, an upswing in employment rates—what’s the best way
to react? Should we return to ‘business as usual,’ or should we
use the experience of the recession to guide our financial
decisions going forward?
Here are some suggestions on how to manage your financial life
in a post-recession world:
Be a Smarter Consumer
This wasn’t called the ‘Great Recession’ for nothing. The
unemployment rate reached its highest level in 25 years. Many
homeowners found themselves facing foreclosure. Consumers were
caught carrying too much debt. Even the country’s financial
system required massive infusions of government money to avoid a
major crisis.
As a consumer, your biggest lesson should be to remain vigilant
about controlling your expenses, even as the economy brightens.
If you found yourself falling deeper into debt during the
recession, safeguard yourself from a similar fate this time
around. Scrutinize your spending habits. Even if you’ve felt
deprived of some of your favorite things (dinners out, regular
stops at the gourmet coffee shop, travel plans), resist the
temptation to revert to those same old spending habits unless
you can really afford them.
A good rule to live by is to only spend money that you have. Try
to avoid putting purchases on credit cards unless you are able
and willing to pay off the bill on time each month when it
arrives. This will help you avoid some of the same problems the
next time the economy goes through a rough patch.
Prepare for Emergency Needs
One positive trend to emerge from the recession is that more
Americans are putting money into savings. Make sure you have
adequate emergency reserves to meet short-term income needs. The
value of an emergency fund has become especially apparent after
seeing a number of Americans lose their jobs during the economic
downturn. You should try to build emergency savings equal to at
least six months worth of expenses. Given the risk of extended
periods of unemployment, it may even make sense to have the
equivalent of nine months worth of living expenses set aside.
You may also consider making sure you are properly protected
from potential financial loss. This is important regardless of
economic conditions. Assess the status of your current auto,
home, life and disability income insurance policies to make
certain you will be adequately protected if an unforeseen event
should disrupt your life.
Keep Up Retirement Plan Contributions
If you are still working (or have returned to the workforce), it
is important to make regular contributions to a workplace
retirement plan (if offered by your employer) and/or an IRA.
Facing a financial crunch as the recession took hold, many
individuals halted contributions to their retirement plans in
order to increase their take-home pay. If you can afford to
resume retirement plan contributions, you should do so. It
provides you with notable tax advantages and will keep you on
track to achieve your retirement goals.
Focus on Personal Growth
The recession serves as a necessary reminder that nothing is
certain and, if we aren’t careful, our financial security can
disappear in the blink of an eye. A number of people who never
would have imagined losing their jobs found themselves among the
millions of unemployed in the past two years. Even if you
managed to keep your job and your income intact, consider the
post-recession period an opportunity to be better prepared for
any eventuality.
We all hope that an improved economy will relieve some of the
anxiousness we feel about our financial lives. It is also a good
occasion to achieve greater financial well-being for any
challenges that lie ahead.
AJ Jugan and Brian Stumpf are financial advisors and Certified
Financial Planner™ professionals. Andrew (AJ) can be reached by
calling 412-635-5813 or emailing andrew.m.jugan@ampf.com. Brian
can be reached by calling 724-799-2782 or emailing
brian.d.stumpf@ampf.com.
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